Gun Owner Rights Advocates are often accused of playing games with statistics; Today’s Fort Worth Star-Telegrams gives a great example of how it is done using a piece on the homeless.
Fort Worth’s homeless plan has made “dramatic progress” in getting people off the streets but may have to depend more on private funding to remain effective, according to an independent evaluation of the program’s first year.
Three hundred twenty-two homeless people have been housed through the plan, Directions Home, since April 2009, with many clients participating in counseling and substance abuse treatment, the University of Texas at Arlington School of Social Work found.
Notice the lack of reference numbers? 322 people sounds like quite a few people, doesn’t it. The paper fails, deliberately?, to inform the reader that
- At any given point in time in 2009, there were 2,181 people considered homeless in Tarrant County.2
- Over the course of a year, 5,012 persons will experience homelessness in Tarrant County.2
Kind of changes the complexion of the equation when we learn that the program is providing housing vouchers to less then 6.5% of the people who will experience homelessness, eh?
By the end of the first year, nearly 9 of 10 people who got permanent supportive housing vouchers had maintained their housing, one step toward self-sufficiency.
This makes it sound even better –9 out of 10 – of course that works out to only 290 people. Even if we go with the 2,181 number, that means less then 14% of the homeless people maintained their housing.
The paper employs another favorite trick — I call it separating the facts — so that it is harder to put all the information together in a unified thought.
Of the 322 homeless people who got housing, 181 received city-funded vouchers, which was short of the plan’s goal of 200 during the first year. The remaining 141 were housed through emergency and day shelter programs that received money from Directions Home to hire caseworkers. That’s the figure that Thornton said impressed him.
So only 181 people were actually taken of the streets for any length of time – the rest 141 were shuffled through the existing facilities. Are they claiming to help people already taking advantage of existing programs?
The article did mention the cost of this program early on — 2.9 million dollars of the city’s money — but didn’t mention how much others are contributing.
The article also failed to put things in terms most people would find easy to understand. Such as cost per person, which is over $9,000 – going by their 322 people housed.
The article also address some numbers which should concern everyone, especially those who care about self defense.
A community court program for the homeless helped 202 people complete probation and community service as well as dismiss 1,665 citations.
Of course, by doing this it makes it seem as if this is one program but it isn’t. Notice the phrasing “a community court program” , yep they are trying to link the two programs in people’s mind to make the housing program appear more successful.
Just think about those numbers for a minute — if 2,181 is the number that means about 10% of the homeless population were on probation.
Next time someone is homeless person is panhandling; there is a high chance that person may be a criminal.
I’ll leave you with the paper’s last trick — burying the facts by not using numbers — notice how they don’t put any numbers to the problem?
Programs tend to boost clients’ self-sufficiency immediately upon their entry into housing because basic needs like shelter, food and safety are being met. But larger barriers like employment, income, mental health issues and substance abuse are overcome less dramatically.
I think that helping the homeless is a great thing to do. I think that the city should get out of that business though and let others step up.
There is a 77 million dollar budget shortage that needs to be addressed. To me, it doesn’t make sense to cut services like police or fire and keep these types of programs in place.
The cost is extremely high for the limited success. It serves an incredibly small percentage of the population — less then 0.8%.
What do you think? Do programs like these enable people, do they help people?
Are they worth the city’s money, time and energy?
Please join the discussion.
Recent Comments